Coatesville 10-2, 197.87 vs Downingtown West 12-1, 199.67
Without question these are the two best teams in the district (nice being able to say that!) with Coatesville blowing through their playoff opponents, Souderton 49-18, Central Bucks West 41-24 and Garnet Valley 48-27 while Downingtown manhandling Pennsbury 63-35, before encountering resistance from North Penn 40-31 and Haverford 49-42. Some vindication for North Penn giving a good account of themselves amidst criticisms with props to Haverford lofting the oft maligned Central Leagues banner (with Garnet Valley) up a notch with their effort.
Tough call here with the numbers saying it’s dead even against quality teams used in the study. For Coatesville the teams were Harrisburg, Cumberland Valley, Rustin, D-West, D-East and playoff teams Souderton, CB-West and Garnet Valley; did not use Unionville. For Downingtown West, used Garnet Valley, CB-South, D-East, WC-East, Coatesville and playoff opponents Pennsbury, North Penn and Haverford; did not use Perkiomen Valley. Barring Harrisburg, no one held Coatesville’s offense within striking distance except the Downingtown schools; West in a 29-21 loss, East in a 28-24 win; very un-Coatesville like outputs. It’s a good day when you hold Coatesville under 30. Still hard seeing this as low scoring. Will be interesting seeing the adjustments made. Dink and dunk last time with Ortega hitting the underneath stuff where Bryant and Stewart tore up D-West….and on special teams with Bryant breaking a few. Coatesville limited Howard (50%, 250yds, 0/1 ratio) while holding Lewis in check. Probably fair to say or argue that Downingtown has more weapons (Howard, Lewis, Pelkisson, Hale, Rosano) while Coatesville’s dual threat Ortega, Dapree Bryant and Stewart are more explosive. Downingtown has the system and players to pound it out (if can, will they?) and own some clock. But do they have the personnel to impede Coatesville’s explosiveness? The game is at Kottmeyer Stadium.
Central Dauphin 11-1, 208.37……..bye week
This will change after input from State College and Coatesville’s (per Harrisburg game) to another value. I’m not inside the program but know those that are to say they do not want to be on the sidelines the way they’ve been playing. Players want to play!
St. Joseph’s Prep 9-2, 211.10 vs Nazareth 12-1, 175.98
Monster confidence builder last week beating Northeast 43-26 without Kyle McCord under center tho well replaced by wide-out Malik Cooper, completing 3 of 8 for 20 yards and 104 rushing on 14 carries. Kolbe Burrell and the O-Line were dominant, rushing for 214 yards. Of some concern was Northeast’s Charles Britt throwing for 288 yards and 2 scores, with Jon-Luke Parker rushing for 128, knowing Nazareth has a dynamic, elusive quarterback. End of the day SJP dominated, responding to a 14-0 deficit by outscoring Ne 43-12. In District-11, top seeded Nazareth poured it all out on the field last week avenging the only loss of the season beating Parkland (10-3) 22-21 in overtime. That’s a lot of expended emotion avenging your only loss of the season and winning a rare (4th) district title. Plus, it is always a big deal beating Parkland….always! And, it followed a hard fought 20-12 win over Easton the week before. Their primary weapon is third year starting quarterback Anthony Harris (6-3, 180, sr, ME, Lehigh). He’s one of the more elusive quarterbacks in the state with a great receiver in Nathan Stefanik, their all-time leading receiver with 194 receptions. They’re senior laden. Of note, Isaiah Rico for Parkland ran for 211 on Naz’s defense last week taking the number down a few pegs. Still surprised how low Naz and the entire EPC-South came out in the ratings. The game is in BASD.
State College 11-1, 185.77 vs Pitt Central Catholic 11-1, 180.61
State College edges Central Catholic per a superior schedule of Mid Penn Commonwealth teams, beating all except Central Dauphin. That’s good since playoff games against McDowell 42-21 and Delaware Valley 38-7 were unchallenging. Central Catholic’s only opponents of note were a loss to North Allegheny 11-10 and wins against Pine Richland 29-7 in the regular season and last week 10-7 in the WPIAL final. This one shapes up a little like Coatesville-Downingtown, pitting SC’s diverse offense that floods the field with weapons (36ppg) against Central Catholic’s defense that allows 9ppg with an all-star DL. Qb Dom Peitro is an issue with a Td/Pick ratio of 2 to 10 at 54% for 1010 yards. SC’s Brady Dorner is at 65% for 1708 yards with a 14/5 ratio, rushing for 440 yards. Edward Tillman has 1754 yards on 229 carries for Catholic. Dresyn Green is at 1144 yards, Isaiah Edwards at 516 with 650 in receptions and Lokey Howell at 305 rush yards and 530 in receptions for SC. The combination of more weapons, a defense allowing 13ppg in a very difficult conference sees them with the statistical advantage here….with a big but. They’ve had no success against the WPIAL rep 3 of the last 4 years, losing to Pine Richland last year 56-33 and the year before 49-21 and in 2015 against Central Catholic 19-3. Two of the three losses were against the eventual state champ, Pine Richland (16-0) in 2017 and Central Catholic (15-1, lost to NA 24-7) in 2015. But with a defense allowing 13ppg in a conference that rates out as the best in the state, this may just be the year they get past their historic nemesis. The game is at North Allegheny High in Wexford.
Without question these are the two best teams in the district (nice being able to say that!) with Coatesville blowing through their playoff opponents, Souderton 49-18, Central Bucks West 41-24 and Garnet Valley 48-27 while Downingtown manhandling Pennsbury 63-35, before encountering resistance from North Penn 40-31 and Haverford 49-42. Some vindication for North Penn giving a good account of themselves amidst criticisms with props to Haverford lofting the oft maligned Central Leagues banner (with Garnet Valley) up a notch with their effort.
Tough call here with the numbers saying it’s dead even against quality teams used in the study. For Coatesville the teams were Harrisburg, Cumberland Valley, Rustin, D-West, D-East and playoff teams Souderton, CB-West and Garnet Valley; did not use Unionville. For Downingtown West, used Garnet Valley, CB-South, D-East, WC-East, Coatesville and playoff opponents Pennsbury, North Penn and Haverford; did not use Perkiomen Valley. Barring Harrisburg, no one held Coatesville’s offense within striking distance except the Downingtown schools; West in a 29-21 loss, East in a 28-24 win; very un-Coatesville like outputs. It’s a good day when you hold Coatesville under 30. Still hard seeing this as low scoring. Will be interesting seeing the adjustments made. Dink and dunk last time with Ortega hitting the underneath stuff where Bryant and Stewart tore up D-West….and on special teams with Bryant breaking a few. Coatesville limited Howard (50%, 250yds, 0/1 ratio) while holding Lewis in check. Probably fair to say or argue that Downingtown has more weapons (Howard, Lewis, Pelkisson, Hale, Rosano) while Coatesville’s dual threat Ortega, Dapree Bryant and Stewart are more explosive. Downingtown has the system and players to pound it out (if can, will they?) and own some clock. But do they have the personnel to impede Coatesville’s explosiveness? The game is at Kottmeyer Stadium.
Central Dauphin 11-1, 208.37……..bye week
This will change after input from State College and Coatesville’s (per Harrisburg game) to another value. I’m not inside the program but know those that are to say they do not want to be on the sidelines the way they’ve been playing. Players want to play!
St. Joseph’s Prep 9-2, 211.10 vs Nazareth 12-1, 175.98
Monster confidence builder last week beating Northeast 43-26 without Kyle McCord under center tho well replaced by wide-out Malik Cooper, completing 3 of 8 for 20 yards and 104 rushing on 14 carries. Kolbe Burrell and the O-Line were dominant, rushing for 214 yards. Of some concern was Northeast’s Charles Britt throwing for 288 yards and 2 scores, with Jon-Luke Parker rushing for 128, knowing Nazareth has a dynamic, elusive quarterback. End of the day SJP dominated, responding to a 14-0 deficit by outscoring Ne 43-12. In District-11, top seeded Nazareth poured it all out on the field last week avenging the only loss of the season beating Parkland (10-3) 22-21 in overtime. That’s a lot of expended emotion avenging your only loss of the season and winning a rare (4th) district title. Plus, it is always a big deal beating Parkland….always! And, it followed a hard fought 20-12 win over Easton the week before. Their primary weapon is third year starting quarterback Anthony Harris (6-3, 180, sr, ME, Lehigh). He’s one of the more elusive quarterbacks in the state with a great receiver in Nathan Stefanik, their all-time leading receiver with 194 receptions. They’re senior laden. Of note, Isaiah Rico for Parkland ran for 211 on Naz’s defense last week taking the number down a few pegs. Still surprised how low Naz and the entire EPC-South came out in the ratings. The game is in BASD.
State College 11-1, 185.77 vs Pitt Central Catholic 11-1, 180.61
State College edges Central Catholic per a superior schedule of Mid Penn Commonwealth teams, beating all except Central Dauphin. That’s good since playoff games against McDowell 42-21 and Delaware Valley 38-7 were unchallenging. Central Catholic’s only opponents of note were a loss to North Allegheny 11-10 and wins against Pine Richland 29-7 in the regular season and last week 10-7 in the WPIAL final. This one shapes up a little like Coatesville-Downingtown, pitting SC’s diverse offense that floods the field with weapons (36ppg) against Central Catholic’s defense that allows 9ppg with an all-star DL. Qb Dom Peitro is an issue with a Td/Pick ratio of 2 to 10 at 54% for 1010 yards. SC’s Brady Dorner is at 65% for 1708 yards with a 14/5 ratio, rushing for 440 yards. Edward Tillman has 1754 yards on 229 carries for Catholic. Dresyn Green is at 1144 yards, Isaiah Edwards at 516 with 650 in receptions and Lokey Howell at 305 rush yards and 530 in receptions for SC. The combination of more weapons, a defense allowing 13ppg in a very difficult conference sees them with the statistical advantage here….with a big but. They’ve had no success against the WPIAL rep 3 of the last 4 years, losing to Pine Richland last year 56-33 and the year before 49-21 and in 2015 against Central Catholic 19-3. Two of the three losses were against the eventual state champ, Pine Richland (16-0) in 2017 and Central Catholic (15-1, lost to NA 24-7) in 2015. But with a defense allowing 13ppg in a conference that rates out as the best in the state, this may just be the year they get past their historic nemesis. The game is at North Allegheny High in Wexford.
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