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The West; 6A Playoff game Power Ratings across the Commonwealth

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The West
District 2 - District 4 Final
Williamsport 10-1 vs Delaware Valley 9-2
(.74 Williamsport)
Delaware Valley beat Williamsport 5 weeks ago on DV’s field 49-42. This time they have to travel to Williamsport to see if they can do it again. That’s the Warriors signature win, beating the Millionaires, with the losses coming at North Pocono (AAAA, 8-3) 27-20 and at Downingtown East 23-6. Williamsport’s signature win is 35-22 at Wyoming Valley West (8-2). Both are substantial offenses with DV averaging 36 a game and Williamsport 50, suggesting an actual repeat of the first game where the team with the ball last wins it. Defense will probably take a back seat in this one making it one of the more entertaining games of the weekend.
District 6/8/10 Final
State College 9-1 vs McDowell 9-1
(1.80 State College )
State College comes into this one off their first loss of the season, losing to Central Dauphin last week 13-10, dropping them into a tie with the Rams for conference honors. The loss may light a fire McDowell can’t put out against one of the most balanced offenses in the state. But McDowell is no slouch, coming in from talent rich Erie on a seven game winning streak since their 31-15 loss to city rival Cathedral Prep. For the Imhotep fans should they meet, Cathedral just defeated New York’s top team Canisius, 28-24. Back to McDowell who has decent wins against Fort LeBeouf, Austintown Fitch-OH and General McLane but nothing to stack up against SC’s wins against Cumberland Valley, Central Dauphin East and Harrisburg. State High!
District 7
Pittsburgh Central Catholic 10-1 vs Pine Richland 7-4
(10.71 Central Catholic)
Central Catholic defeated all 3 of the remaining teams in the WPIAL tournament, including Pine Richland 48-35 when QB Phil Jurkovec was healthy (out for the year), North Allegheny 55-14 and Seneca Valley 42-14. How exciting is that? So it appears the challenge….if it comes at all will be from State College if they get past McDowell or the District-3 representative that looks to be Central Dauphin, Cumberland Valley or Wilson. If State gets past McDowell, they stand a good chance of having another rematch with Mid Penn Commonwealth rivals Central Dauphin or Cumberland Valley.
North Allegheny 9-2 vs Seneca Valley 7-3 (5.02 North Allegheny)
Here’s another rematch to spice things up. With NA winning the regular season game 49-14, it needs spiced up and probably will be with Seneca Valley probably stoked after a loss of such magnitude. SenVal always scores points, averaging 53 a game their last three while North Allegheny comes in red hot, on a 8 game winning streak.
District 3 (Saved the best for last….LOL)
Central Dauphin 9-1 vs Manheim Township 6-4 (12.27 Central Dauphin)
Central Dauphin won the first game with Manheim 31-9 in the opener and should take this one against the hard luck Blue Streaks who have tight losses to Governor Mifflin 28-20, Warwick 31-28 and Wilson 17-10. Across the field, Central Dauphin’s 25-24 loss to Cumberland Valley, their fourth straight to the Eagles, evidently lit a fire as they won their next 5 games against CD East, Chambersburg, Harrisburg, Red Land and State College, showing there are no ill side effects following Micah Parson’s transfer to Harrisburg High a few weeks ago. CD’s special teams, a given with Coach McNamee teams have not been up to par this year but this is still a loaded team that should get past the Streaks at Landis.
Cumberland Valley 7-3 vs Warwick 8-2 (5.18 Cumberland Valley)
This one could get interesting since Warwick has the talent to stay with CV. After opening with a 38-17 loss to powerhouse Manheim Central, they morphed into another team, losing a close one to Wilson 14-10 then winning out in their last 6 games of the year. What they don’t have is playoff experience meaning the big stage and bright lights might be just a little too bright the first time around, especially at CV’s Chapman Field. It’s a veteran bunch with 19 back from last year but catching the Eagles at Chapman after a loss is a bad deal for Warwick. They’ll be in War Eagle mode for this one.
Wilson 9-1 vs Central York 7-3 (18.71 Wilson)
In any other year with a typical Central York team, they might have snuck up on the Bulldogs who look mortal after consecutive district titles. But this is not one of the stronger Panther editions (allowed 100 points last 4 games) and life is usually real hard come playoff time on Wilson’s turf in a playoff game at night. For some linkage with other quality teams, Central lost at home to Cumberland Valley in the 2nd week, 35-7 and 3 weeks ago also at home to Red Lion 28-18.
Red Lion 10-0 vs Central Dauphin East 6-4 (6.70 Red Lion)
Red Lion is situated a mile southeast of York in the burbs playing in the York-Adams league with teams like Dallastown, Central York, South Western and York High where Coach Ortega coached before coming to Coatesville. They’ve often been competitive but this is their best team in years, perhaps ever, not having had an undefeated season since 1974. You may recall quarterback Chad Kelly currently at Ole Miss, played here briefly before being dismissed from the team in 2009. Thereon he went to St. Joseph’s Collegiate Institute where he set the New York state single season rushing record of 2000 yards and 1588 yards passing. About the team, they replaced all their skill people this year but are veteran along the lines, being especially strong at DL where Nick Argento (6-3, 305, 87 tackles, sr) has dominated. He’s joined by Stephen Tierney (6-4, 260, 33 stops, sr), Alex Vega (6-1, 225, 19 tackles, sr) and C/DT Ben Frey (6-2, 210, 22, stops, sr). The offense is built around speed with quarterback Scot Emig (6-1, 175, sr) throwing for 851 yards and passing for 875. He has a 77% completion rate. Water bug running back Dylan Gurreri at 5-6, 170 pounds zigged and zagged for 1248 yards rushing with FB/LB Pat Daugherty (6-0, 205, sr) getting 320. He’s a headhunter on defense with 88 stops.
Whether they can beat Central Dauphin East is a whole other question considering the Panther’s Mid Penn pedigree. 6-4 isn’t scaring anyone but in a league facing Harrisburg, Central Dauphin, State College, Cumberland Valley and Bishop McDevitt, you have to be careful judging a team on its won-loss record. They are coming off a 19-12 loss to Cumberland Valley 2 weeks ago and a 27-13 win against Bishop McDevitt last week, and will bring more speed to the field than Red Lion faced all season. But with a proud bunch of seniors on a historic run playing at home, it should be a real war. Lions and Panthers!
 
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Quite a few shockers coming out of the WPIAL. Seneca valley beat NA by blocking XP with no time remaining. Crazy ending. I think we can just give PCC the trophy now, they dominated a jurkovec less pine Richland, I don't think anyone is on their level on the western side of the state, not even close what so ever. Only team that will challenge them and possible beat them is saint joes prep.
 
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It's always been that way I think for months now. Eyebrows were raised after the first game bump to saint johns, but after that it's been all central. Watching them against pine Richland tonight, they're miles upon miles ahead of the rest of the western part of the state. I'd say a couple light years to be honest. To many playmakers, to much size, to much speed. It adds A lot to the private vs public debate on how a team can get this loaded, it's incredible.
 
Pine-Richland must do something about their defense. It was horrendous!!!

How can a team that, with a backup QB, move the ball against the caliber of talent that PCC has, and then with more or less the same kids, can't do anything to stop the other team. PR had 1.5 good plays last night. The first play and half of the second play (until kid broke tackle and went 40 yards)

I know they play a ton of young kids on both sides of the ball, but they stink on D. I hope Coach K finds a solution because it would be a shame if they are this bad for Jurkovec's senior year.
 
I defiantly agree new2pa, it's been abysmal this year. Way worse than last year. Last year they actually could tackle kids, they just got torn up by good QBs, this year it just sucks across the board to put it bluntly. But you have to also to give them a little breathing room against PCC, it's hard to stop that team in general at all and especially when your entire D line is getting pancaked every play. I think a lot of it has to do with how young the kids are and the schemes they run. I think they run very basic defensive schemes because they put a lot of effort into the offense so it shows and alot of the first year starters being juniors and sophomores and one freshman. Its a lot different tackling a freshman or JV running back that might be playing because their parents made them vs someone From pcc that could probably play D1. They also don't have a lot depth either and size.

They've consistently been outsized by most teams this year on both fronts. It makes a difference for sure. If a team gets into the 20 yard line they can just run power it's a guranteed score. Luckily they return three sophomore starters on the offense line that are going to get bigger and have a year of expierence under their belts, and some juniors that were rotated on the defensive line. If they can just get the tackling together, and actually stop big plays in the run and pass just a little, than they have a possible state title team. Because with a healthy Phil and some of their recievers and runningbacks coming back, they may just outscore most anyways. They just need their defense to stop giving up ridiculously big plays consistently and getting off the field quicker. Oh and special teams needs to get better too. They've got the talent coming back to do all this, especially their line backing core. That Tyler king kid is going to blow up soon he's a stud.
 
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