On Penn State-Ohio State, the NCAA tournament is going to be awesome. Penn State is probably only going to score at 8 weight classes versus Ohio State's 10, but I don't see how the Buckeyes overcome the bonus points Penn State is going to score. This is all assuming Nolf is good to go, but I've heard that he should be ready to go.
Any Ohio State hope for a title I think means that Bo Jordan has to finish higher than Mark Hall or Myles Martin has to finish higher than Bo Nickal. I really don't see either happening. Hall has his hands full with Zahid Valencia (Arizona State), but I think he's passed Bo (and Hall and Bo should be on the same side of the bracket as the 2 and 3 seeds). Nickal is so damn funky and hard to score on, as we saw Saturday, and I don't know how Myles scores enough points to beat him.
Penn State has two locks for champs in Retherford and Nolf and a solid favorite in Nickal. Hall and Joseph are both almost locks to make finals and own wins over their projected opponents (Zahid Valencia and Isaiah Martinez). Nick Lee is one of the best freshmen in America and I think finds his way into the 5-8 range on the podium, and Nevills could finish as high as 3 and is almost a lock to AA (I don't think he beats Snyder or Coon). 197 is the worst weight class in the country, and whoever Penn State ultimately trots out there is just as likely as anyone to place high. That's a lot of points pretty much locked in.
As for Ohio State, Snyder is there only lock for a champ. Kollin Moore has the next best chance, and I would have called him a lock before this weekend (he's pinned #2 twice and has dominated everybody before Cassar this weekend). Other than that, it's a lot of maybes. I think Tomasello is the best guy at 125, but Lee, Suriano, and Cruz are all just as good. That's the best top tier of any weight in college this year, and if we wrestled that weight 100 times, they'd each win it 25. Luke Pletcher is a dark horse title contender, and I think finishes in the top 5, but I don't know if he can score enough points with Seth Gross or Kaid Brock. Bo Jordan has a Zahid Valencia and Mark Hall problem, I don't see a world where he finishes higher or lower than 3rd. Ditto for Myles, he beats everybody but Nickal...but I don't see him beating Nickal. From there, it gets hairy. Micah Jordan is a 5-8 guy, and struggles enough on bottom that he could get upset early. Ke-Shawn Hayes needs to wrestle his best weekend to AA. Joey McKenna has finished 3rd and was a national title contender his past few years, but doesn't seem quite there right now, and has a history of NCAA flameouts when he was at Stanford. And Te'Shawn Campbell is the longest shot to AA (they're going for 10) and the Buckeyes need solid points out of him to have a chance.