The smallest field in Hershey since expanding from just four regional champions in the early 1970s. All wrestlers who have qualified for this weekend are state medalists, but we'll shake out champions on Saturday. The one day tournament certainly adds an element - yes, things are packed in, but one weigh in rather than three straight days may be a real advantage for guys who are bigger in their brackets, assuming they can get by that quarterfinal fresh off of the scale.
All rankings are provided by PaPower Wrestling. All references to national rankings are those from Willie Saylor, formerly of FloWrestling, now of MatScouts (and a state medalist for my Red Rovers on the #1 team in the country in 1996).
I feel like this year there are not tons of big favorites. Wyatt Henson and Jagger Condomitti are the only two I'd say you can mark down in ink. Just about every other class has at least two guys who are solid bets to win, meaning it's a terrible year to be making predictions! Part of this is an injury issue - Lenny Pinto (Stroudsburg) and Mac Stout (Mount Lebanon) are two of the best wrestlers in the country and would be solid favorites at 172 and 189, but both are out for the season with knee injuries. That was the state final at 170 last year, won by Pinto. He'll be at Nebraska next year, while Stout will be back for his senior year shooting for his first state title (and to become the third Stout brother with a state title). Other returning state medalist/finals threats out with injuries are Hayden Cunningham (State College - son of Penn State assistant Casey Cunningham), Braxton Appello (Easton), Nico Taddy (West Allegheny), and Ty Watters (West Allegheny). And of course, the big injury story is in 2A, where Ryan Crookham (Saucon Valley) will NOT become the next four time state champion, as he is out for the season with concussion issues and also transferred out of Notre Dame (GP) to Saucon Valley. Crookham, Pinto, and Stout all being out for the season is the biggest I can remember the injury bug hitting Pennsylvania.
Anyway, onto the previews starting with the little guys.
106
#1 Carson Wagner, Northampton (So.): State 6th
#5 Cael Nasdeo, Williamsport (So.)
#10 Tony Burke, Council Rock North (Jr.) – SQ
#4 Dominic Flatt, Solanco (Sr.) – SQ
-
#6 Luke Sirianni, Abington Heights (So.)
#3 Kaedyn Williams, Manheim Township (Fr.) – Junior High 3rd, Junior High 3rd,
#7 Josh Jasionowicz, Stroudsburg (Sr.) – SQ
#2 Tyler Chappell, Seneca Valley (So.)
Serious Title Threats
Carson Wagner, Northampton; Kaedyn Williams, Manheim Township, Tyler Chappell, Seneca Valley
It’s a pretty clear top three here with Wagner, Williams, and Chappell. Wagner, the lone returning medalist from 106 last year, has the best bracket placement at the top away from the other two. He looked sluggish last weekend, much less offense than we’re used to from him and he’s going to need to find that to win it al. Williams is a budding superstar – he’s really tall for the weight and has a risk-embracing style that makes him a fan favorite. Chappell was able to ride out Williams and slow him down (I also think the cut to 108 must be brutal) and that’ll be a really good semi to see how strategies change this week.
Bracket Buster: Josh Jasionowicz, Stroudsburg
Jasionowicz is the most experienced guy in the field – a four year starter for Sean Richmond at 106 who made a surprise trip to Hershey last year. He’s a really tough out, but he also could literally bust the bracket. He suffered a pretty serious ankle injury last week in the blood round – he was able to finish but defaulted out of his next match, and I’ve heard he’s being evaluated whether or not he can wrestle this weekend.
Semifinals: Carson Wagner vs. Dominic Flatt and Kaedyn Williams vs. Tyler Chappell
On the top half, Wagner should get by Nasdeo, while Flatt is a solid favorite over Burke. Flatt was 1-2 at states last year, with losses to state champ Vinny Kilkeary and Hayden Cunningham (out for the year with an ACL tear, but otherwise would be here). He’s the rare senior at 106, and that experience goes a long way in such a weird year. On the bottom, it’s a Williams/Chappell collision course.
Finals: Carson Wagner vs. Kaedyn Williams
Wagner is a solid favorite on top, particularly if we see the Wagner from Districts and Regionals, who just hammered the competition. On the bottom, Williams could not get out from underneath Chappell last week – but I think he’s got the better ability to score two from his feet in this one and the freshman takes the rematch.
State Champ: Carson Wagner, Northampton
I said back in the fall after Super 32 that Wagner was my pick to win a state title at 106 now that he was fully sized. Williams has an impressive toolkit and this match will be more entertaining than his semi with Chappell as both guys can really put the pedal on the floor. Wagner is a little more savvy and a little better on bottom, and that’s my difference. Or I’m just a D11 homer.
State Medal Picks
1. Carson Wagner, Northampton
2. Kaedyn Williams, Manheim Township
3. Tyler Chappell, Seneca Valley
4. Dominic Flatt, Solanco
5. Josh Jasionowicz, Stroudsburg
6. Cael Nasdeo, Williamsport
7. Luke Sirianni, Abington Heights
8. Tony Burke, Council Rock North
All rankings are provided by PaPower Wrestling. All references to national rankings are those from Willie Saylor, formerly of FloWrestling, now of MatScouts (and a state medalist for my Red Rovers on the #1 team in the country in 1996).
I feel like this year there are not tons of big favorites. Wyatt Henson and Jagger Condomitti are the only two I'd say you can mark down in ink. Just about every other class has at least two guys who are solid bets to win, meaning it's a terrible year to be making predictions! Part of this is an injury issue - Lenny Pinto (Stroudsburg) and Mac Stout (Mount Lebanon) are two of the best wrestlers in the country and would be solid favorites at 172 and 189, but both are out for the season with knee injuries. That was the state final at 170 last year, won by Pinto. He'll be at Nebraska next year, while Stout will be back for his senior year shooting for his first state title (and to become the third Stout brother with a state title). Other returning state medalist/finals threats out with injuries are Hayden Cunningham (State College - son of Penn State assistant Casey Cunningham), Braxton Appello (Easton), Nico Taddy (West Allegheny), and Ty Watters (West Allegheny). And of course, the big injury story is in 2A, where Ryan Crookham (Saucon Valley) will NOT become the next four time state champion, as he is out for the season with concussion issues and also transferred out of Notre Dame (GP) to Saucon Valley. Crookham, Pinto, and Stout all being out for the season is the biggest I can remember the injury bug hitting Pennsylvania.
Anyway, onto the previews starting with the little guys.
106
#1 Carson Wagner, Northampton (So.): State 6th
#5 Cael Nasdeo, Williamsport (So.)
#10 Tony Burke, Council Rock North (Jr.) – SQ
#4 Dominic Flatt, Solanco (Sr.) – SQ
-
#6 Luke Sirianni, Abington Heights (So.)
#3 Kaedyn Williams, Manheim Township (Fr.) – Junior High 3rd, Junior High 3rd,
#7 Josh Jasionowicz, Stroudsburg (Sr.) – SQ
#2 Tyler Chappell, Seneca Valley (So.)
Serious Title Threats
Carson Wagner, Northampton; Kaedyn Williams, Manheim Township, Tyler Chappell, Seneca Valley
It’s a pretty clear top three here with Wagner, Williams, and Chappell. Wagner, the lone returning medalist from 106 last year, has the best bracket placement at the top away from the other two. He looked sluggish last weekend, much less offense than we’re used to from him and he’s going to need to find that to win it al. Williams is a budding superstar – he’s really tall for the weight and has a risk-embracing style that makes him a fan favorite. Chappell was able to ride out Williams and slow him down (I also think the cut to 108 must be brutal) and that’ll be a really good semi to see how strategies change this week.
Bracket Buster: Josh Jasionowicz, Stroudsburg
Jasionowicz is the most experienced guy in the field – a four year starter for Sean Richmond at 106 who made a surprise trip to Hershey last year. He’s a really tough out, but he also could literally bust the bracket. He suffered a pretty serious ankle injury last week in the blood round – he was able to finish but defaulted out of his next match, and I’ve heard he’s being evaluated whether or not he can wrestle this weekend.
Semifinals: Carson Wagner vs. Dominic Flatt and Kaedyn Williams vs. Tyler Chappell
On the top half, Wagner should get by Nasdeo, while Flatt is a solid favorite over Burke. Flatt was 1-2 at states last year, with losses to state champ Vinny Kilkeary and Hayden Cunningham (out for the year with an ACL tear, but otherwise would be here). He’s the rare senior at 106, and that experience goes a long way in such a weird year. On the bottom, it’s a Williams/Chappell collision course.
Finals: Carson Wagner vs. Kaedyn Williams
Wagner is a solid favorite on top, particularly if we see the Wagner from Districts and Regionals, who just hammered the competition. On the bottom, Williams could not get out from underneath Chappell last week – but I think he’s got the better ability to score two from his feet in this one and the freshman takes the rematch.
State Champ: Carson Wagner, Northampton
I said back in the fall after Super 32 that Wagner was my pick to win a state title at 106 now that he was fully sized. Williams has an impressive toolkit and this match will be more entertaining than his semi with Chappell as both guys can really put the pedal on the floor. Wagner is a little more savvy and a little better on bottom, and that’s my difference. Or I’m just a D11 homer.
State Medal Picks
1. Carson Wagner, Northampton
2. Kaedyn Williams, Manheim Township
3. Tyler Chappell, Seneca Valley
4. Dominic Flatt, Solanco
5. Josh Jasionowicz, Stroudsburg
6. Cael Nasdeo, Williamsport
7. Luke Sirianni, Abington Heights
8. Tony Burke, Council Rock North