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SEPA Playoff Confidence Pool

Burrs5

Well-Known Member
Jan 24, 2016
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I thought this could be fun. If we get enough participants, then I'll track it over the next six weeks. I tried my best coming up with fair lines. The games will eventually decrease in the coming weeks, but I'll figure a way to keep the point system at a place that keeps all involved.

Objective:
Pick the against the spread winners in each game below and designate a 1-to-20 confidence rating for each game. You can only use each number once. For example, the game you feel most confident about should get the 20 point tag, next strongest 19, etc, etc....

Picks must be submitted no later than Friday, Nov. 3rd at 6:59 PM.

***Don't forget to include your THREE Bonus Games at the end.
6A:

S-Ford @ Nesh (-9.5)
CB South @ Pennsbury (-6.5)
Truman @ Coatsville (-28.5)
OJR @ D-East (-23.5)
Penn Wood @ Perk Valley (-17.5)
Q'Town @ Pennridge (-10.5)
CB West @ Garnet Valley (-12.5)
Haverford @ North Penn (-19.5)

5A:
Penncrest @ Springfield (-33.5)
WC Rustin @ Great Valley (-3.5)
Chichester @ Academy Park (-21.5)
Radnor @ U. Dublin (-11.5)
Sun Valley @ U. Moreland (-23.5)
Oxford @ Marple (-18.5)
Glen Mills @ Unionville (-20.5)
S. Haven @ Shanahan (-10.5)

4A:
Interboro @ Pottsgrove (-20.5)
PJP @ Upper Perk (-10.5)

PCL:
Judge @ SJ Prep (-36.5)
Roman @ Lasalle (-33.5)

Bonus Points:
Pick any three games from the list above and provide a predicted final score.
Bullseye: 50 points
Within 5 total points: 10 points
Within 10 total points: 5 points

Examples:
John Doe:
Prediction: SJP 42, Judge 0 - Final Score, 42-0 SJP (50 points) - Bullseye

Prediction: Springfield 34, Penncrest 7 - Final Score, 37-6 SPR (10 points)
**In this example John picked the winner, missed SPR by 3 points and Penncrest by 1, for a total of 4 points off.

Prediction: Pottsgrove 40, Interboro 20 - Final Score, 46-17 PG (5 points)
**In this example John picked the winner, missed PG by 6 points and Interboro by 3, for a total of 9 points off.

Prediction: Pennsbury 30, Spring-Ford 7 - Final Score, 30-20, PSB (NO POINTS)
**In this example John picked the winner, was exact on PSB's total, but missed SF by 13, for a total of 13 points. No bonus because you need to be within 10 points total off.

***You must pick the correct winner to get credit for a close score.
 
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Great Idea Huck. Thanks for doing this!

20 - CB South
19 - Neshaminy
18 - GV
17 - Pottsgrove
16 - NP
15 - OJR
14 - Coatsville
13 - Qtown
12 - Prep
11- Roman
10 - Pennwood
9- Upper Perk
8- WC Rustin
7- Springfield
6- Glen Mills
5- Marple
4- S. Haven
3- Radnor
2- Sun Valley
1- Chichester


Bonus

CB South 21 Pennsbury 20
Lasalle 35 Roman 7
Nesh 41 SF 13
 
Burrs, great concept! I'll try to take a stab at it. I've been awful on my predictions all year so I don't expect much to change lol...
20-Garnet Valley
19-North Penn
18-Academy Park
17-Perk Valley
16-DTE
15-Coatesville
14-Marple Newtown
13-Pottsgrove
12-LaSalle
11-Strath Haven
10-Upper Dublin
9-Unionville
8-Pennsbury
7-Spring Ford
6-Pennridge
5-Judge
4-Great Valley
3-Penncrest
2-Upper Perk
1-Upper Moreland

Bonus
Prep 42 - Judge 7
LaSalle 42 - Roman 6
North Penn 38 - Haverford 14
 
Are these point spreads from the Born Power Index? Upper Perk is a +10.5 vs PJP even though they clobbered them 41-14 a few weeks ago.
 
20 - Dtown East
19 - Perk Valley
18 - Garnet Valley
17 - Unionville
16 - Shanahan
15 - Upper Dublin
14 - Upper Perk
13 - Pottsgrove
12 - Pennridge
11 - Pennsbury
10 - Neshaminy
9 - North Penn
8 - WC Rustin
7 - Marple
6 - Judge
5 - Roman
4 - Truman
3 - Academy Park
2 - Upper Moreland
1 - Springfield

Bonus Points:
Skins 32 Springford 20
Pennsbury 24 CB South 14
Pennridge 24 Quakertown 13
 
I think I might try this but first it's going to take me all day to research the entire season so that my predictions are at least somewhat in the ballpark.
 
Are these point spreads from the Born Power Index? Upper Perk is a +10.5 vs PJP even though they clobbered them 41-14 a few weeks ago.

I noticed that, but after consultation from my guys in Vegas we are expecting a closer game, ha ha...
 
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Great idea Huck, appreciate the effort. Like Skinner, I need to do a little research first.
 
FYI, i just looked at the BPI thing and they had Upper perk only 7.5 points better than PJP despite the 41-14 first meeting. I think my instincts are in the right place here :)
 
Burrs, really appreciate the effort. Just curious how you came up with the lines? For PCL teams, I know you watch all of their games and I'm sure they are spot on. For District 1, did you compare scores? Hearsay on the board or people in the know? Im guessing you may have seen a few of them play, possibly in non-league action. Again, thanks for putting this together!
 
I'll take a stab here...

20 Springfield
19 Upper Moreland
18 Academy Park
17 Pennsbury
16 Garnet Valley
15 WC Rustin
14 Oxford
13 Shannahan
12 Perk Valley
11 Upper Dublin
10 Pennridge
9 North Penn
8 Truman
7 OJR
6 Spring Ford
5 Judge
4 Roman
3 Pottsgrove
2 Upper Perk
1 Glen Mills

Bonus Points:
Springfield 49 Penncrest 7
Marple 41 Oxford 33
Coatesville 38 Truman 14
 
Last edited:
Burrs, really appreciate the effort. Just curious how you came up with the lines? For PCL teams, I know you watch all of their games and I'm sure they are spot on. For District 1, did you compare scores? Hearsay on the board or people in the know? Im guessing you may have seen a few of them play, possibly in non-league action. Again, thanks for putting this together!


HSF, tho I'm a PCL guy first and foremost, I'd like to think that I pay attention to the entire area throughout the season. I do a Top 25 poll weekly that I discuss with Rick O'Brien every week. For a few of the matchups I looked a little deeper at some score comparisons, but mostly just went with gut instincts. I just compared them with that BPI thing. Pretty much in the ballpark. Not an exact science with the BPI or my off-the-top-of-my-head lines, but I'd like to think that most are fair and reasonable.
 
Burrs, for the teams I've seen, they are definitely fair/reasonable lines. I was just curious on your method. I always enjoy your contributions and follows your posts on Silary. Thanks again for all your hard work throughout the year!
 
Huck,

I echo everyone’s comments above that this is a great idea and we all owe you a debt of gratitude for putting this together.

Here is my entry (fingers crossed). This should be a fun stretch.

20 - Neshaminy
19 - North Penn
18 - Garnet Valley
17 - Upper Perkiomen
16 - Downingtown East
15 - Coatesville
14 - Marple
13 - La Salle
12 - Perkiomen Valley
11 - Upper Moreland
10 - Radnor
9 - Glen Mills
8 - Academy Park
7 - Interboro
6 - Bishop Shanahan
5 - Father Judge
4 - Springfield
3 - Great Valley
2 - CB South
1 - Pennridge

Final Scores:
SJ Prep 42 Father Judge 7
La Salle 49 Roman Catholic 7
North Penn 49. Haverford 13
 
20 NP
19 garnet v
18 Springfield Delco
17 down east
16 coatesville
15 Unionville
14 prep
13 pottsgrove
12 academy park
11 LaSalle
10 perk valley
9 upper Moreland
8 maple Newtown
7 pennridge
6 upper perk
5 great valley
4 shanahan
3 pennsbury
2 upper Dublin
1 neshaminy

Bonus
Np 35-14
Springfield Delco 42-7
Garnet valley 35-7
Great stuff
 
Fellas,

If anyone makes a change to a pick, then please mention it in a post. I already documented the picks posted so far.
 
What a novel idea Huck. Not sure where you find the time to do all this but I'll give it a go. Wonder if my good friend btm2070 will come out of the woodwork for this one.
North Penn-20 45-13
LaSalle-19 42-0
Garnet Valley-18
Springfield-17
Marple-16
Rustin-15
Academy Park-14
DEast-13
UNIONVILLE-12
Perk Valley-11
Upper Moreland-10
Pennridge-9
Interboro-8
Shanahan-7
Upper Dublin-6
CB South-5
Springford-4
Truman-3 41-13
PJP-2
Judge-1
 
What a novel idea Huck. Not sure where you find the time to do all this but I'll give it a go. Wonder if my good friend btm2070 will come out of the woodwork for this one.
North Penn-20 45-13
LaSalle-19 42-0
Garnet Valley-18
Springfield-17
Marple-16
Rustin-15
Academy Park-14
DEast-13
UNIONVILLE-12
Perk Valley-11
Upper Moreland-10
Pennridge-9
Interboro-8
Shanahan-7
Upper Dublin-6
CB South-5
Springford-4
Truman-3 41-13
PJP-2
Judge-1


IADelco, I'm assuming you like Truman with the 28.5, but think CV will win 41-13????
 
Yes I like Coatesville, LaSalle and North Penn to win those games. Sorry I wasn't more clear.
 
20 - Upper Moreland
19 - Springfield
18 - Downingtown East
17 - North Penn (41-14)
16 - Academy Park
15 - Unionville
14 - Bishop Shanahan
13 - Pottsgrove
12 - Pennsbury
11 - Garnet Valley (31-8)
10 - Neshaminy
9 - Upper Dublin
8 - Oxford
7 - Coatesville
6 - PJP II
5 - Pennridge (28-13)
4 - Penn Wood
3 - Bayard Rustin
2 - LaSalle
1 - St. Joseph's Prep

Thanks, Huck, for the idea and your time.
 

  1. PhillyftbfnNew Member
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    20 north penn
    19 coatsville
    18upper Moreland
    17 upper perk
    16 lasalle
    15 academy park
    14 marple
    13 prep
    12 garnett valley
    11pennsbury
    10 interboro
    9 perk valley
    8 downington east
    7 strath haven
    6 great valley
    5 pennridge
    4 Glenn mills
    3 Springfield
    2 neshimany
    1upper Dublin

    Bonus
    Prep 49 judge 0
    Lasalle 56 roman 7
    North penn 61 haverford 20
    1 Phillyftbfn, 8 minutes ago
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Thanks Burrs for setting this up. I usually just get on to read the posts, but you have inspired me get an account and get involved.

20 - Springfield (42-0)
19 - North Penn
18 - DTE
17 - Shanahan
16 - Upper Moreland
15 - SJP
14 - Neshaminy
13 - Garnet Valley (35-14)
12 - Coatesville
11 - Perk Valley
10 - Upper Dublin
9 - Academy Park (33-7)
8 - Lasalle
7 - CB South
6 - Unionville
5 - Pottsgrove
4 - Oxford
3 - Great Valley
2 - Pennridge
1 - PJP
 
Here is mine. Looks like we're up to 11 players. Maybe a few more will join before the games begin.

6A:

15 - S-Ford @ Nesh (-9.5)
7 - CB South @ Pennsbury (-6.5)
14 - Truman @ Coatsville (-28.5)
16 - OJR @ D-East (-23.5)
4 - Penn Wood @ Perk Valley (-17.5)
18 - Q'Town @ Pennridge (-10.5)
17 - CB West @ Garnet Valley (-12.5)
1 - Haverford @ North Penn (-19.5)

5A:
20 - Penncrest @ Springfield (-33.5)
10 - WC Rustin @ Great Valley (-3.5)
11 - Chichester @ Academy Park (-21.5)
6 - Radnor @ U. Dublin (-11.5)
19 - Sun Valley @ U. Moreland (-23.5)
5 - Oxford @ Marple (-18.5)
3 - Glen Mills @ Unionville (-20.5)
2 - S. Haven @ Shanahan (-10.5)

4A:
13 - Interboro @ Pottsgrove (-20.5)
9 - PJP @ Upper Perk (-10.5)

PCL:
12 - Judge @ SJ Prep (-36.5)
8 - Roman @ Lasalle (-33.5)

BONUS:
Springfield, 41-0
SJ Prep, 42-0
LaSalle, 42-7
 
20 - Pottsgrove
19 - Upper Perk
18 - Pennridge
17 - Garnet Valley
16 - Neshaminy
15 - Coatesville
14 - Upper Moreland
13 - Academy Park
12 - Perk Valley
11 - SJ Prep
10 - Unionville
9 - Pennsbury
8 - LaSalle
7 - Springfield
6 - DTE
5 - Oxford
4 - Upper Dublin
3 - Bishop Shanahan
2 - Haverford
1 - Rustin

Bonus
Pottsgrove 48-13
Pennridge 28-14
Garnet Valley 34-14
 
Ok, let’s keep the laughs down to a low roar. These are my best Guestimates.

Picks ae in bold

6A:

20 -Spg-Ford @ Neshy(-9.5)
17- CBSouth @ Pennsbury (-6.5)
19 -Truman @ Coatsville (-28.5)
16- OJR @ D-East (-23.5)
5 - Penn Wood @ Perk Val (-17.5)
18- Q-Town @ Pennridge (-10.5)
14- CB West @ G-Val (-12.5)
15- Haverford @ North Penn (-19.5)

5A:
10- Penncrest @ Springfield (-33.5)
9 - Rustin @ Great Valley (-3.5)

13- Chichester @ Academy Park (-21.5)
8- Radnor @ Upper Dublin (-11.5)
12- Sun Valley @ Upper Moreland (-23.5)
11- Oxford @Marple (-18.5)
7 - Glen Mills @ Unionville (-20.5)
6 - S. Haven @ Shanahan (-10.5)

4A:
1- Interboro @ Pottsgrove (-20.5)

4- PJP @ Upper Perk (-10.5)

PCL:
3 - Judge @ SJ Prep (-36.5)
2 - Roman @ Lasalle (-33.5)

BONUS:

Marple 42-24 Oxford

SJP 47-10 Judge

Cville 48-14 Truman
 
20 Garnet Valley
19 Pottsgrove
18 Academy Park
17 Shanahan
16 Neshaminy
15 Upper Moreland
14 Pennsbury
13 North Penn
12 Springfield
11 Pennridge
10 Downingtown East
9 Upper Dublin
8 PJP
7 Perk Valley
6 Coatesville
5. Maple Newtown
4 Rustin
3 Unionville
2 Roman
1 Judge

Pennridge 27 Quakertown 14
St Joe Prep 42 Judge 6
Neshaminy 28 Spring-Ford 14
 
Winners in Bold

6A:

10-S-Ford @ Nesh (-9.5)
2- CB South @ Pennsbury (-6.5)
20- Truman @ Coatsville (-28.5)
1- OJR @ D-East (-23.5)

19- Penn Wood @ Perk Valley (-17.5)
3- Q'Town @ Pennridge (-10.5)
17-CB West @ Garnet Valley (-12.5)
18- Haverford @ North Penn (-19.5)

5A:
13-Penncrest @ Springfield (-33.5)
14-WC Rustin @ Great Valley (-3.5)
11-Chichester @ Academy Park (-21.5)
12-Radnor @ U. Dublin (-11.5)
8-Sun Valley @ U. Moreland (-23.5)
9- Oxford @ Marple (-18.5)
4-Glen Mills @ Unionville (-20.5)
7-S. Haven @ Shanahan (-10.5)

4A:
6- Interboro @ Pottsgrove (-20.5)
5-PJP @ Upper Perk (-10.5)

PCL:
15- Judge @ SJ Prep (-36.5)
16- Roman @ Lasalle (-33.5)


Prep 42-7
Lasalle 42-7
Coatesville 49-7
 
Winners in Bold

6A:
10-S-Ford
@ Nesh (-9.5)
2- CB South @ Pennsbury (-6.5)
20- Truman @ Coatsville (-28.5)
1- OJR @ D-East (-23.5)
19- Penn Wood @ Perk Valley (-17.5)
3- Q'Town @ Pennridge (-10.5)
17-CB West @ Garnet Valley (-12.5)
18- Haverford @ North Penn (-19.5)

5A:
13-Penncrest @ Springfield (-33.5)
14-WC Rustin @ Great Valley (-3.5)
11-Chichester @ Academy Park (-21.5)
12-Radnor @ U. Dublin (-11.5)
8-Sun Valley @ U. Moreland (-23.5)
9- Oxford @ Marple (-18.5)
4-Glen Mills @ Unionville (-20.5)
7-S. Haven @ Shanahan (-10.5)

4A:
6- Interboro @ Pottsgrove (-20.5)
5-PJP @ Upper Perk (-10.5)

PCL:
15- Judge @ SJ Prep (-36.5)
16- Roman @ Lasalle (-33.5)


Prep 42-7
Lasalle 42-7
Coatesville 49-7

You have both OJR and DTE in bold
 
17 - North Penn (41-14)...final score 41-21
11 - Garnet Valley (31-8)...final score 32-13
5 - Pennridge (28-13)...final score 28-0

Three winning teams and I missed their scores by a total of 1 point. I should get, at least, a 1 point bonus for that!!
(sarcasm font)
 
Make sure everyone checks their points and possible bonus points. Human error is possible, ha ha. We still have one game left, but I hope to have an update by sometime tomorrow. Thanks.
 
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