Relayer: Garnet Valley vs Upper Dublin….by the numbers

Stalker

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Oct 13, 2001
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Relayer, I looked into the game from the perspective of ‘Power Ratings’ (the math) that is predictive mid-season on. The semis went 9-3 while the finals counting yesterday’s Steel High, McDevitt games are 2-0.
GV-UD looked interesting once you mentioned it with them being polar opposites; GV rushing 81.7% of plays, UD 59.4. They both come out with high numbers on defense despite being a no show vs SJP for GV. UD gained vs outcome with Imhotep statistically tho a lesser foe (lesser points) than SJP and on the season having better balance. Schedule advantage to GV playing (best) CB West x 2, Ridley, Spring Ford, DtEast and SJP vs Upper Dublin’s slate of Kennett 8-4 (per beating Rustin), CB West, Ply White (handled their option), Rustin, Imhotep.
No road challengers for GV, none, entire year until SJP, and UD only playing North Penn, a disappointing 6-6 but a capable opponent.
These two come out close to even with UD up 2.63 points on neutral. It looks a lot like GV’s game with Spring Ford and UD’s with Rustin.
Historically when the PRs are in double digits, 17 and up, it suggests a rout.

Semis and Finals to date
SJP 17.20 over GVal, score 48-7
Alliquippa 21.72 over Allen CC score 31-10
McDevitt 26-15 over Crestwood, score 35-0
Wyo 16.39 over Neumann….a loss, 20-17 NG won
** Note on yesterday’s McDevitt-Aliquippa typo-ed at 2.69 supposed to be 22.69.

What strikes you about GV’s success and why it works, apart from being so efficient on the ground running 82% of time is Qb Mesaros throwing well, 61% for 1289 yards, 19 Tds and ZERO picks. You don’t expect that once lulled into stopping the run. They’re hard to stop unless you have the athletes SJP and some others have. UD and GV would have been a great game!
 

Relayer

Well-Known Member
Jun 18, 2001
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Relayer, I looked into the game from the perspective of ‘Power Ratings’ (the math) that is predictive mid-season on. The semis went 9-3 while the finals counting yesterday’s Steel High, McDevitt games are 2-0.
GV-UD looked interesting once you mentioned it with them being polar opposites; GV rushing 81.7% of plays, UD 59.4. They both come out with high numbers on defense despite being a no show vs SJP for GV. UD gained vs outcome with Imhotep statistically tho a lesser foe (lesser points) than SJP and on the season having better balance. Schedule advantage to GV playing (best) CB West x 2, Ridley, Spring Ford, DtEast and SJP vs Upper Dublin’s slate of Kennett 8-4 (per beating Rustin), CB West, Ply White (handled their option), Rustin, Imhotep.
No road challengers for GV, none, entire year until SJP, and UD only playing North Penn, a disappointing 6-6 but a capable opponent.
These two come out close to even with UD up 2.63 points on neutral. It looks a lot like GV’s game with Spring Ford and UD’s with Rustin.
Historically when the PRs are in double digits, 17 and up, it suggests a rout.

Semis and Finals to date
SJP 17.20 over GVal, score 48-7
Alliquippa 21.72 over Allen CC score 31-10
McDevitt 26-15 over Crestwood, score 35-0
Wyo 16.39 over Neumann….a loss, 20-17 NG won
** Note on yesterday’s McDevitt-Aliquippa typo-ed at 2.69 supposed to be 22.69.

What strikes you about GV’s success and why it works, apart from being so efficient on the ground running 82% of time is Qb Mesaros throwing well, 61% for 1289 yards, 19 Tds and ZERO picks. You don’t expect that once lulled into stopping the run. They’re hard to stop unless you have the athletes SJP and some others have. UD and GV would have been a great gamgame
Thanks Stalk. I was thinking if we were still in only 4 classes, this would have been the D1 championship game.
 
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BJMaher

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Nov 16, 2021
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In addition to UD and GV being a good game. I think State college - Garnet Valley and Harrisburg - Garnet valley would have also been great games. Harrisburg's going to find out today just what St Joe's prep is all about.
 

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