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The West; 6A Playoff game Power Ratings across the Commonwealth

The West
District 2 - District 4 Final
Williamsport 10-1 vs Delaware Valley 9-2
(.74 Williamsport)
Delaware Valley beat Williamsport 5 weeks ago on DV’s field 49-42. This time they have to travel to Williamsport to see if they can do it again. That’s the Warriors signature win, beating the Millionaires, with the losses coming at North Pocono (AAAA, 8-3) 27-20 and at Downingtown East 23-6. Williamsport’s signature win is 35-22 at Wyoming Valley West (8-2). Both are substantial offenses with DV averaging 36 a game and Williamsport 50, suggesting an actual repeat of the first game where the team with the ball last wins it. Defense will probably take a back seat in this one making it one of the more entertaining games of the weekend.
District 6/8/10 Final
State College 9-1 vs McDowell 9-1
(1.80 State College )
State College comes into this one off their first loss of the season, losing to Central Dauphin last week 13-10, dropping them into a tie with the Rams for conference honors. The loss may light a fire McDowell can’t put out against one of the most balanced offenses in the state. But McDowell is no slouch, coming in from talent rich Erie on a seven game winning streak since their 31-15 loss to city rival Cathedral Prep. For the Imhotep fans should they meet, Cathedral just defeated New York’s top team Canisius, 28-24. Back to McDowell who has decent wins against Fort LeBeouf, Austintown Fitch-OH and General McLane but nothing to stack up against SC’s wins against Cumberland Valley, Central Dauphin East and Harrisburg. State High!
District 7
Pittsburgh Central Catholic 10-1 vs Pine Richland 7-4
(10.71 Central Catholic)
Central Catholic defeated all 3 of the remaining teams in the WPIAL tournament, including Pine Richland 48-35 when QB Phil Jurkovec was healthy (out for the year), North Allegheny 55-14 and Seneca Valley 42-14. How exciting is that? So it appears the challenge….if it comes at all will be from State College if they get past McDowell or the District-3 representative that looks to be Central Dauphin, Cumberland Valley or Wilson. If State gets past McDowell, they stand a good chance of having another rematch with Mid Penn Commonwealth rivals Central Dauphin or Cumberland Valley.
North Allegheny 9-2 vs Seneca Valley 7-3 (5.02 North Allegheny)
Here’s another rematch to spice things up. With NA winning the regular season game 49-14, it needs spiced up and probably will be with Seneca Valley probably stoked after a loss of such magnitude. SenVal always scores points, averaging 53 a game their last three while North Allegheny comes in red hot, on a 8 game winning streak.
District 3 (Saved the best for last….LOL)
Central Dauphin 9-1 vs Manheim Township 6-4 (12.27 Central Dauphin)
Central Dauphin won the first game with Manheim 31-9 in the opener and should take this one against the hard luck Blue Streaks who have tight losses to Governor Mifflin 28-20, Warwick 31-28 and Wilson 17-10. Across the field, Central Dauphin’s 25-24 loss to Cumberland Valley, their fourth straight to the Eagles, evidently lit a fire as they won their next 5 games against CD East, Chambersburg, Harrisburg, Red Land and State College, showing there are no ill side effects following Micah Parson’s transfer to Harrisburg High a few weeks ago. CD’s special teams, a given with Coach McNamee teams have not been up to par this year but this is still a loaded team that should get past the Streaks at Landis.
Cumberland Valley 7-3 vs Warwick 8-2 (5.18 Cumberland Valley)
This one could get interesting since Warwick has the talent to stay with CV. After opening with a 38-17 loss to powerhouse Manheim Central, they morphed into another team, losing a close one to Wilson 14-10 then winning out in their last 6 games of the year. What they don’t have is playoff experience meaning the big stage and bright lights might be just a little too bright the first time around, especially at CV’s Chapman Field. It’s a veteran bunch with 19 back from last year but catching the Eagles at Chapman after a loss is a bad deal for Warwick. They’ll be in War Eagle mode for this one.
Wilson 9-1 vs Central York 7-3 (18.71 Wilson)
In any other year with a typical Central York team, they might have snuck up on the Bulldogs who look mortal after consecutive district titles. But this is not one of the stronger Panther editions (allowed 100 points last 4 games) and life is usually real hard come playoff time on Wilson’s turf in a playoff game at night. For some linkage with other quality teams, Central lost at home to Cumberland Valley in the 2nd week, 35-7 and 3 weeks ago also at home to Red Lion 28-18.
Red Lion 10-0 vs Central Dauphin East 6-4 (6.70 Red Lion)
Red Lion is situated a mile southeast of York in the burbs playing in the York-Adams league with teams like Dallastown, Central York, South Western and York High where Coach Ortega coached before coming to Coatesville. They’ve often been competitive but this is their best team in years, perhaps ever, not having had an undefeated season since 1974. You may recall quarterback Chad Kelly currently at Ole Miss, played here briefly before being dismissed from the team in 2009. Thereon he went to St. Joseph’s Collegiate Institute where he set the New York state single season rushing record of 2000 yards and 1588 yards passing. About the team, they replaced all their skill people this year but are veteran along the lines, being especially strong at DL where Nick Argento (6-3, 305, 87 tackles, sr) has dominated. He’s joined by Stephen Tierney (6-4, 260, 33 stops, sr), Alex Vega (6-1, 225, 19 tackles, sr) and C/DT Ben Frey (6-2, 210, 22, stops, sr). The offense is built around speed with quarterback Scot Emig (6-1, 175, sr) throwing for 851 yards and passing for 875. He has a 77% completion rate. Water bug running back Dylan Gurreri at 5-6, 170 pounds zigged and zagged for 1248 yards rushing with FB/LB Pat Daugherty (6-0, 205, sr) getting 320. He’s a headhunter on defense with 88 stops.
Whether they can beat Central Dauphin East is a whole other question considering the Panther’s Mid Penn pedigree. 6-4 isn’t scaring anyone but in a league facing Harrisburg, Central Dauphin, State College, Cumberland Valley and Bishop McDevitt, you have to be careful judging a team on its won-loss record. They are coming off a 19-12 loss to Cumberland Valley 2 weeks ago and a 27-13 win against Bishop McDevitt last week, and will bring more speed to the field than Red Lion faced all season. But with a proud bunch of seniors on a historic run playing at home, it should be a real war. Lions and Panthers!

lasalle

Wow 5 loss season, including a win against a horrid pennsbury team, certainly not Bergen or Dematha....How many losse would they have had if not recruiting rising junior running back last year? Oh, but they are young, sorry that excuse is only good for public school teams who do not recruit and reload every year...Oh but they had injuries...So does everybody else, including proven players at their positions....Good luck next year!
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SJP-LaSalle

Maybe a bit of discussion about the game that will happen rather than the coaching change that won't would be of interest.

Too bad Waller is hurt, but SJP should still be able to score lots of points. The question is whether LaSalle can put up enough points to stay close and possibly win. One of the biggest plays in the last game was SJP stopping LaSalle near the goal line in the first quarter. Then and throughout the rest of the first half, the LaSalle offense had a hard time making big plays. Johnson was leading the SJP defense. In the second half, after Johnson left because of an injury, LaSalle (Madden in particular) mode several big plays. Of course by that time the Prep had already scored five TDs. Is Johnson likely to play this week?

GV 42 - Neshaminy 14 FINAL -- congrats Jags

'Skins scored on first possession and then GV had two nice veer offense drives to make it 14-7.

On following possession Jones fumbled and GV defender picked up and returned all the way to make it 21-7.

It got worse for 'Skins from there.

Congratulations to Garnet Valley for coming up to Langhorne and posting a statement win. Continued success in your playoff run.

Congrats to Neshaminy for an 11-1 season. It was a tough ending to the year but there were records broken and many achievements. We'll miss the seniors - good luck to you guys.

As to the underclass men - the next season is just around the corner. Get after it and we'll see you in 2017!

GV 42 Nesh 14

Didn't see GV throw a pass.....Neshaminy has some great loyal fans on here, but they were way over rated all year...Most saw but were polite, because of the class of the skins fans....They never passed the eye test, but the descriptive summaries were great.....

GV is well coached with good size and speed, will be a tough out....

scores

LIVE SCORES : Nov. 11


Friday November 11

District 1 6A Playoffs

North Penn 28 FINAL

Spring-Ford 19


Ridley 21 FINAL

Coatesville 41


Perkiomen Valley 44 FINAL

Downingtown East 21


Garnet Valley 42 FINAL

Neshaminy 14


District 1 5A Playoffs

Springfield-Delco 24 FINAL

Great Valley 7


West Chester Henderson
17 FINAL

Upper Dublin 14


Marple Newtown 38 FINAL

West Chester East 37


Bishop Shanahan 13 FINAL

Academy Park 26


District 1 4A Playoffs

Interboro 26 FINAL

Pottsgrove 27



District 12 6A Playoffs

St. Joseph's Prep 35 FINAL

LaSalle College 14
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The East; 6A Playoff game Power Ratings across the Commonwealth

Here are the Power Ratings predictions for all the 6A Classification games this week. They’ve been reasonably accurate picking winners with some wild swings in the actual spreads. This is just for the fun of it and to get some information and views out there. Jump in!

The East
District 12 (PCL and PPL Finals)
Philadelphia Central 10-0 vs Northeast 7-2
(15.34 Central )
Two great football traditions going at it here with the math making this look easy. But Northeast has been around the block more than a few times so it might not be that easy. It’s hard getting linkage games to the world beyond the PUB although you can do some guesstimating with Central beating Wissahickon 26-21 the 2nd week of the season. Wissahickon had losses to Plymouth Whitemarsh, Quakertown and Cheltenham by 3, 12 and 13 points respectively for some comparisons to draw vague assessments. Something like that? Within the PUB, Northeast lost to Imhotep 44-8 October 28th . But they are an established PUB power that won’t be intimidated.
St. Joseph’s Prep vs LaSalle (11.36 St. Joseph’s Prep)
Here’s the first of a few rematches this weekend and we all know how they can go. But it’s still hard getting your mind around LaSalle in this one with early losses to North Penn and Malvern Prep before blowouts to St. Joe’s and Archbishop Wood more recently. Meanwhile, the Hawks have been blistering people, 52-19 since Roman. You want to say hey….it’s St.Joe’s and LaSalle dummy but it just doesn’t feel like that kind of game. Hopefully it is.
District 11
Emmaus 10-1 vs Freedom 7-4
(2.57 Emmaus)
Another rematch here in an exciting game between EPC-South foes. Freedom is vulnerable with 3 of their 4 losses coming to teams Emmaus beat. Plus, the Hornets beat them head to head at Emmaus but only by 2, 37-35. Let’s see if Freedom can build on that one where they won the second half 21-14. Scores from the Lehigh Valley, especially the EPC-South have taught us to expect the unexpected, so hold on for a fun ride to determine the District champ.
Parkland 8-3 vs Easton 6-5 (10.31 Parkland)
The District playoffs have become all about rematches with Parkland seeing if they can repeat the 28-0 win in Easton way back on September 16th . That will be tough if the Easton team that beat Freedom and Stroudsburg earlier in the year and Pleasant Valley last week shows up. Same with Parkland. Who is going to show up, the one that got it handed to them by Bethlehem Catholic 5 weeks ago or the one that took the field the last 4 weeks going 3-1 with a narrow 24-21 ot loss at Emmaus? Parkland-Easton is something like St. Joe’s and LaSalle so who knows?
District 1
North Penn 11-0 vs Spring Ford 9-2
(2.67 North Penn)
The math is looking funny on this one but why shouldn’t the Rams versatile attack be competitive. An ever shifting demography in Montco has changed the district’s landscape and power structure with Spring Ford and Perkiomen Valley fielding legitimate teams recently; Spring Ford with a 67-17 record since 2010 and Perkiomen Valley at 48-10 since 2012. About the Rams, you could make a good argument their 41-40 ot road loss at Wilson was no less impressive than North Penn’s home wins against LaSalle, Downingtown East and Pennridge. But then there’s the home loss to Perk Val. One thing for certain, it will be exciting with the Knights scoring 42ppg and allowing 12 while the big Ram attack scores 44 a game with a decent D of their own allowing 12ppg. It’s at Crawford where you feel the Knights will prevail, maybe wearing Spring Ford down late. Maybe they both run out of gas in this one.
Coatesville 10-1 vs Ridley 10-1 (9.04 Coatesville)
Like North Penn and Spring Ford, this game features teams with over-the-top impressive stats. On one hand you have Coatesville averaging 41ppg with a D allowing 15, a differential of 26 points. The Raiders are nearly as impressive with a 24-point differential, scoring 32 a game and allowing 8. If Ridley is going to keep up with that on the road, they’re going to have to go “extreme” on Coatesville, either manufacturing a lot of offense, or manufacturing none with stall ball….going to the Four Corners. In some ways this reminds of the Downingtown East game, in that for all the skills and supposed defensive prowess Downingtown East brought to the table, Coatesville made a mockery of their defense, beating them 40-7 despite the Cougars coming into the game scoring 27 a game and allowing 9. Turnovers, Special Teams and possession time look to be key in this one.
Perkiomen Valley 11-0 vs Downingtown East 9-2 (3.84 Perkiomen Valley)
Perk Val just keeps climbing the seeding chart each year since 2013 moving from a 15 seed, to 12 in 2014 and 7 last year. This year sees them at 3 getting a home game in Collegeville where they will be hard to beat. Downingtown has had some difficulty with diverse offenses (North Penn 7-23, Coatesville 7-40) while the Vikings have blown most teams out early. If you can get the Coatesville game out of your mind you can build a scenario where Downingtown keeps pace with this offensive juggernaut. But that’s hard to do especially on the road.
Neshaminy 11-0 vs Garnet Valley 9-2 (9.31 Neshaminy)
Neshaminy passed their two major tests of the year, beating Pennridge in week # 2, 31-24, then beating them again last week, 26-21 in the 1st round. The other two “name” teams, Downingtown West and Central Bucks South were dispatched with ease and by the same score, 42-14. Garnet Valley lost to 2 of their 3 most difficult opponents, Ridley, 28-20 and Haverford, 34-28 in overtime. They got quality wins on the road against Springfield 21-14 and at CB South last week 21-14. Their option style attack keeps the clock moving, making this an interesting game if they don’t fall behind. Although they score 37ppg, that average was fueled by 6 losing teams with a won-loss of 19-43.

District 1 - Round 2

Not much has changed since the original predictions were made. Only 1 lower seeded team advanced out of Round 1 and I see the same in Round 2 (Dtown East).

Round 1


1. North Penn (10-0) over 16. Haverford (6-4)

8. Spring-Ford (8-2) over 9. Central Bucks East (8-2)

4. Coatesville (9-1) over 13. Abington (6-4)

5. Ridley (9-1) over 12. Plymouth-Whitemarsh (8-2)

2. Neshaminy (10-0) over 15. Pennridge (5-5)

10. Garnet Valley (8-2) over 7. Central Bucks South (8-2)

3. Perkiomen Valley (10-0) over 14. Penn Wood (7-3)

6. Downingtown East (8-2) over 11. Souderton (6-4)

Round 2

1. North Penn (10-0) over 8. Spring-Ford (8-2)
Springford is much better than Haverford, but still no match for the Knights.

4. Coatesville (9-1) over 5. Ridley (9-1)
Ridley will have a bunch of tough hard-nosed kids, but the Red Raiders are simply too fast here.

2. Neshaminy (10-0) over 10. Garnet Valley (8-2)
GV almost pulled off the win a few years back in the playoffs, but the Skins were able to shut them out in the second half. Skins in a close one.

6. Downingtown East (8-2) over 3. Perkiomen Valley (10-0)
I see the Cougars DL getting pressure on the great PV QB being the difference here.

Semis

4. Coatesville (9-1) over 1. North Penn (10-0)

2. Neshaminy (10-0) over 6. Downingtown East (8-2)

Final

2. Neshaminy (10-0) over 4. Coatesville (9-1)

Can't wait to see Ridley get crushed

How good is Ridley, really they played in a weak central league that saw three terrible teams with losing records make the 5A playoffs and now they have to go to coatsville for a good old fashion beating. Wood inherited a senior heavy team that was decker's kids, I'm not giving any credit to decker because he sunk that ship, but we need to see what happens next year when he has to reload the team. It's only a matter of time when the good old boys network crumbles ( Sydnor the AD and Wood). For everyone that things wood was a good college coach does not know squat, when he was at widener he once again inherited good teams that coach zwann built before he went to West Chester and after that group of kids left the downfall began. News flash for the Ridley faithful the ship decker sunk has duct tape on it, but we all know what happens when the duct tape gets wet, it comes apart and falls off so just be patient because it's is coming to a head real fast . Now let the real raiders win this battle.

The winner of Tuesday's election is going to be....

the loser, in all likelihood. With the way that Incapabama has set things up, the winner of the election is going to inherit quite a mess. The Federal Reserve has done all that they could to keep the economy going, rather than let a recession happen naturally. Intervention at the levels seen over the past several years, made necessary by all of the business regulation that was put into place, not to mention high tax rates, only makes the eventual recession worse.

Combine the economy with a disastrous foreign policy by Incapabama that has left the world much more dangerous, and the next person, whether it's Trump or Lie-arry, has his or her work cut out for them.
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